About IGSNRR
News
Research
People
International Cooperation
Education & Training
Publications
Facilities
Journals
Library
Scientific Database
Hosted Societies
Eye on Chinese Geography
Links
Location: Home > Publications > New Papers
Paper Code  
Title   Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario
Authors   Ma Danyang, Deng Haoyu, Yin Yunhe, Wu Shaohong etc.
Corresponding Author  
Year   2019
Title of Journal  
Volume  
Number  
Page  
Abstract   Changes in regional moisture patterns under the impact of climate change are an important focus for science. Based on the five global climate models (GCMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), this paper projects trends in the area of arid/humid climate regions of China over the next 100 years. It also identifies the regions of arid/humid patterns change and analyzes their temperature sensitivity of responses. Results show that future change will be characterized by a significant contraction in the humid region and an expansion of arid/humid transition zones. In particular, the sub-humid region will expand by 28.69% in the long term (2070-2099) relative to the baseline period (1981-2010). Under 2 degrees C and 4 degrees C warming, the area of the arid/humid transition zones is projected to increase from 10.17% to 13.72% of the total of China. The humid region south of the Huaihe River Basin, which is affected mainly by a future increase in evapotranspiration, will retreat southward and change to a sub-humid region. In general, the sensitivity of responses of arid/humid patterns to climate change in China will intensify with accelerating global warming.
Full Text  
Full Text Link       
Classification: SCI
Source:
Title of Journal: JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
Download:
Copyright © Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS
Address: 11A, Datun Road ,Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100101, China   Email: weboffice@igsnrr.ac.cn